Shooting Stars 1-0 Bendel Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
14%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.44
No
66%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.3pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.3pp
14%
Away Win
19%
-5.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
37%
-2.8pp
66%
BTTS No
63%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.42/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/1.02
+3% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +20%
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 184 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shooting Stars
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Bendel Insurance
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2025 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 1-1 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
08.02.2025 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance NIJ
02.10.2024 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 1-0 HT 0-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shooting Stars
1-0
AWAY Bendel Insurance
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shooting Stars nicked a narrow win over Bendel Insurance 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shooting Stars as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shooting Stars had 59% of the ball to Bendel Insurance's 41%, shots finished 17-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shooting Stars and 0.67 for Bendel Insurance.

What was the final score of Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance?

Shooting Stars 1-0 Bendel Insurance in the Nigeria NPFL on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shooting Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shooting Stars 54%, draw 33%, Bendel Insurance 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shooting Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shooting Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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