Halmstad 1-1 Trelleborgs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 25% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halmstad EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.07/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.48
-1% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / +37%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
466 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halmstad
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2022 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 0-4 HT 0-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ2
28.06.2022 Halmstad Halmstad 1-2 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
05.12.2020 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-4 HT 1-4 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ2
16.06.2020 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
22.09.2019 Halmstad Halmstad 3-0 HT 2-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
11.05.2019 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 0-1 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halmstad
1-1
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Halmstad vs Trelleborgs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halmstad and Trelleborgs FF shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Halmstad at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Halmstad had 51% of the ball to Trelleborgs FF's 49%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Halmstad had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Halmstad and 0.83 for Trelleborgs FF.

What was the final score of Halmstad vs Trelleborgs FF?

Halmstad 1-1 Trelleborgs FF in the Sweden - Cup on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halmstad vs Trelleborgs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Halmstad win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Halmstad 54%, draw 23%, Trelleborgs FF 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Halmstad)
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