Helsingborgs IF 0-1 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
3.3
6+ Goals
12%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+8.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 57%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -78% / -78%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-100% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -72%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helsingborgs IF
1W-0D-5L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.31 xG 1.91
50% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
344 Passes 308
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 26
31 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.09.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 3-2 HT 2-1 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ
21.05.2022 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-4 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
06.11.2021 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 3-1 HT 0-1 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
22.07.2021 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 2-3 HT 1-2 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
04.11.2018 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-0 HT 0-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
24.06.2018 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helsingborgs IF
0-1
AWAY IFK Varnamo
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Helsingborgs IF vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Varnamo squeezed past Helsingborgs IF 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had IFK Varnamo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Helsingborgs IF had 45% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 55%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Varnamo led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Helsingborgs IF and 2.33 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of Helsingborgs IF vs IFK Varnamo?

Helsingborgs IF 0-1 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Cup on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helsingborgs IF vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Helsingborgs IF 32%, draw 21%, IFK Varnamo 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Varnamo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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