Freiburg II 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.11
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
6%
6.89
X/2
11%
4.62
X/X
9%
4.42
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.92
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.05/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.65
-19% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
323 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 8.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 3-1 HT 1-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II AL3
08.04.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 2-1 HT 0-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II AL3
15.10.2022 Freiburg II Freiburg II 3-2 HT 0-1 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
18.04.2022 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 0-1 HT 0-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II AL3
06.11.2021 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-1 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
10.12.2017 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-0 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg II
1-0
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
30% Ball Possession 70%
3 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 13
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II squeezed past Waldhof Mannheim 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Waldhof Mannheim at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Freiburg II had 30% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 70%, shots finished 3-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg II had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Freiburg II and 1.33 for Waldhof Mannheim.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Freiburg II 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Waldhof Mannheim win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 30%, draw 23%, Waldhof Mannheim 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) ✓ BTTS No
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