Rapid Wien 3-0 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 25 Feb 2024

Rapid Wien
3-0 HT 3-0
Austria Wien
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Rapid Wien vs Austria Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.1
X/1
16%
4.37
X/2
12%
8.88
X/X
12%
5.18
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
10%
6.3
2/X
5%
13.7
Value flag · 1/X at 13.1 — our 11% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rapid Wien v Austria Wien — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.92/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.54
-3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
21.9 Crosses 16.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8

Rapid Wien vs Austria Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Austria Wien
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.31 xG 1.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
259 Passes 251
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
14.05.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-1 HT 2-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
16.04.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-3 HT 2-2 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
19.03.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
09.10.2022 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-2 HT 0-2 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
08.05.2022 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU

Rapid Wien 3-0 Austria Wien — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
3-0
AWAY Austria Wien
2.00 xG 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 9
214 Passes 348
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien ran out comfortable winners over Austria Wien 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rapid Wien as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 40% of the ball to Austria Wien's 60%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 2.00 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rapid Wien and 1.83 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Austria Wien?

Rapid Wien 3-0 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 45%, draw 27%, Austria Wien 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Wien), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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