Araz Nahçıvan 0-3 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.45
Over 2.5
30%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.1pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.3pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+5.2pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-5.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.9pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 34%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.00/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.90
-24% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Zira
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.12.2023 Zira Zira 0-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
01.10.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira swept aside Araz Nahçıvan 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Zira made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 0.00 for Zira.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Zira?

Araz Nahçıvan 0-3 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 36%, draw 33%, Zira 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
25 Feb 2024
18:00 Karabağ vs Sumqayıt Analysis →