Karabağ 2-0 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 25 Feb 2024

Karabağ
2-0 HT 0-0
Sumqayıt
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Karabağ vs Sumqayıt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.2pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karabağ v Sumqayıt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +7%
2.57/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.13
+29% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +49%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Karabağ vs Sumqayıt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sumqayıt
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.12.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-6 HT 1-3 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
29.09.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 5-0 HT 4-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
22.05.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 1-2 HT 0-2 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
15.03.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-6 HT 0-4 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
16.10.2022 Karabağ Karabağ 3-1 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
13.08.2022 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-2 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ beat Sumqayıt 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for Karabağ and 0.67 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Sumqayıt?

Karabağ 2-0 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 57%, draw 22%, Sumqayıt 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
25 Feb 2024
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