Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-0 Ajman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 25 Feb 2024

Al Ahli FC Dubai
3-0 HT 1-0
Ajman
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
UAE - League – 2023/2024

Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Ajman Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.63
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
12%
6.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli FC Dubai v Ajman — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajman EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +23%
2.05/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.78
+3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
20.6 Crosses 10.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Ajman Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ajman
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.94 xG 0.68
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
384 Passes 234
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.08.2023 Ajman Ajman 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
13.05.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
23.01.2023 Ajman Ajman 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
11.02.2022 Ajman Ajman 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
25.08.2021 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
11.03.2021 Ajman Ajman 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE

Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-0 Ajman — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
3-0
AWAY Ajman
1.27 xG 1.25
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 6
474 Passes 264
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 6
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Ajman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai cruised past Ajman 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ahli FC Dubai had 62% of the ball to Ajman's 38%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.27 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Ahli FC Dubai and 0.50 for Ajman.

What was the final score of Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Ajman?

Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-0 Ajman in the UAE - League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Ajman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli FC Dubai 53%, draw 22%, Ajman 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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