Al Bataeh 1-2 Al Wahda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
9%
8.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.36 — our 28% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-9.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.4pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Bataeh EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 62%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.46/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.27
+35% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
11.7 Crosses 23.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Bataeh
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Wahda
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.71 xG 2.58
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
194 Passes 382
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 33
9 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 4
18.08.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
18.02.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Bataeh
1-2
AWAY Al Wahda
0.23 xG 1.38
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
312 Passes 479
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 39
4 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH Al Bataeh vs Al Wahda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda nicked a narrow win over Al Bataeh 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Wahda as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Bataeh had 42% of the ball to Al Wahda's 58%, shots finished 5-21, expected goals 0.23 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Bataeh and 1.50 for Al Wahda.

What was the final score of Al Bataeh vs Al Wahda?

Al Bataeh 1-2 Al Wahda in the UAE - League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Bataeh vs Al Wahda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Wahda win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Bataeh 26%, draw 26%, Al Wahda 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wahda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Wahda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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