Uruguay (K) 1-3 Ekvador (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Feb 2024

Uruguay (K)
1-3
Ekvador (K)
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Uruguay (K) vs Ekvador (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
48%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
34%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
16%
+11.2pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.1pp
48%
Away Win
66%
-17.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uruguay (K) v Ekvador (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uruguay (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvador (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
298 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 549 · 87%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Uruguay (K) vs Ekvador (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekvador (K) got the better of Uruguay (K) 3-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ekvador (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Uruguay (K) vs Ekvador (K)?

Uruguay (K) 1-3 Ekvador (K) in the Friendlies on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uruguay (K) vs Ekvador (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ekvador (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Uruguay (K) 27%, draw 24%, Ekvador (K) 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ekvador (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ekvador (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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