Tokyo Verdy 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.3
6+ Goals
13%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.33
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
10%
7.42
X/2
16%
4.47
X/X
15%
5.03
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.63
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 51%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.49/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.25
+41% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 468 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
Crosses 18.1
Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1-2
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.21 xG 1.06
32% Ball Possession 68%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
200 Passes 542
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos edged past Tokyo Verdy 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yokohama F. Marinos as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 32% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 68%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.21 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Tokyo Verdy 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 31%, draw 27%, Yokohama F. Marinos 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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