Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 25 Feb 2024

Patriotas Boyaca
1-0 HT 0-0
Millonarios
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Patriotas Boyaca vs Millonarios Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+7.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-7.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.3pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Patriotas Boyaca v Millonarios — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 52%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
0.97/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.72
-37% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.2 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Patriotas Boyaca vs Millonarios Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Millonarios
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.42 xG 1.13
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
298 Passes 394
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.10.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
02.05.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-2 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
07.09.2021 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
14.03.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-2 HT 0-2 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
18.10.2020 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
06.10.2019 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL

Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 Millonarios — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
1-0
AWAY Millonarios
0.29 xG 0.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
245 Passes 278
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
7 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Patriotas Boyaca vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patriotas Boyaca nicked a narrow win over Millonarios 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Patriotas Boyaca found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Patriotas Boyaca had 48% of the ball to Millonarios's 52%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.29 to 0.90 — on chances, Millonarios could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Patriotas Boyaca and 1.00 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Patriotas Boyaca vs Millonarios?

Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patriotas Boyaca vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Patriotas Boyaca 31%, draw 29%, Millonarios 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Millonarios) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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