Valletta 0-2 Marsaxlokk FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valletta EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.47/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.72
-51% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
221 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valletta
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.10.2023 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
11.12.2022 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
16.04.2022 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Valletta Valletta MLTAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valletta
0-2
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valletta vs Marsaxlokk FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC got the better of Valletta 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Marsaxlokk FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Valletta had 59% of the ball to Marsaxlokk FC's 41%, shots finished 5-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Valletta had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Valletta and 0.33 for Marsaxlokk FC.

What was the final score of Valletta vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Valletta 0-2 Marsaxlokk FC in the Malta - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valletta vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valletta 32%, draw 30%, Marsaxlokk FC 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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