Naxxar Lions 0-3 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
58%
Away Win
70%
-12.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.0pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana EU Bookmakers 75%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.60/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/0.31
-14% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
230 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 534 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naxxar Lions
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Floriana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 5
13.01.2024 Floriana Floriana 2-0 HT 1-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTAK
21.10.2023 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 1-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxxar Lions
0-3
AWAY Floriana
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naxxar Lions vs Floriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana ran out comfortable winners over Naxxar Lions 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Naxxar Lions had 45% of the ball to Floriana's 55%, shots finished 4-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Floriana led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Naxxar Lions and 1.50 for Floriana.

What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Floriana?

Naxxar Lions 0-3 Floriana in the Malta - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Floriana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 19%, draw 22%, Floriana 58%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTP More Malta - Premier League
25 Feb 2024
13:00 Sirens vs Gzira United Analysis →
16:00 Valletta vs Marsaxlokk FC Analysis →
16:00 Gudja United vs Santa Lucia Analysis →
18:15 Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans Analysis →