Gudja United 0-4 Santa Lucia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+0.7pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.5pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gudja United EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Lucia EU Bookmakers 55%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.00/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+33% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -16%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
238 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gudja United
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Santa Lucia
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 0-0 HT 0-0 Gudja United Gudja United MLTP
04.02.2023 Gudja United Gudja United 3-0 HT 0-0 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
01.10.2022 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 1-3 HT 0-1 Gudja United Gudja United MLTP
19.01.2022 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 0-3 HT 0-1 Gudja United Gudja United MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gudja United
0-4
AWAY Santa Lucia
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gudja United vs Santa Lucia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Lucia ran out comfortable winners over Gudja United 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Lucia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gudja United had 48% of the ball to Santa Lucia's 52%, shots finished 4-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gudja United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Gudja United and 0.25 for Santa Lucia.

What was the final score of Gudja United vs Santa Lucia?

Gudja United 0-4 Santa Lucia in the Malta - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gudja United vs Santa Lucia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Lucia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gudja United 23%, draw 32%, Santa Lucia 45%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Lucia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Lucia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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