Floriana 2-0 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 13 Jan 2024

Floriana
2-0 HT 1-0
Naxxar Lions
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Malta - FA Cup – 2023/2024

Floriana vs Naxxar Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
29%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Floriana v Naxxar Lions — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Floriana vs Naxxar Lions Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 1-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana got the better of Naxxar Lions 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Naxxar Lions?

Floriana 2-0 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - FA Cup on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Floriana 57%, draw 27%, Naxxar Lions 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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