Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 Zebbug Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
30%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-9.6pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.5pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Zebbug Rangers EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Zabbar St. Patrick vs Zebbug Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zebbug Rangers squeezed past Zabbar St. Patrick 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zabbar St. Patrick at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Zebbug Rangers?

Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 Zebbug Rangers in the Malta - FA Cup on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Zebbug Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zabbar St. Patrick win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Zabbar St. Patrick 55%, draw 29%, Zebbug Rangers 16%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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