Mosta 5-1 Pieta Hotspurs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
37%
3.54
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.9
No
42%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
53%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
23%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.3pp
37%
Draw
25%
+12.2pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.0pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pieta Hotspurs EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosta
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Pieta Hotspurs
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.01.2023 Mosta Mosta 4-0 HT 0-0 Pieta Hotspurs Pieta Hotspurs MLTP
10.09.2022 Pieta Hotspurs Pieta Hotspurs 1-4 HT 0-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Pieta Hotspurs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta cruised past Pieta Hotspurs 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mosta as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mosta had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Mosta and 0.50 for Pieta Hotspurs.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Pieta Hotspurs?

Mosta 5-1 Pieta Hotspurs in the Malta - FA Cup on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Pieta Hotspurs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mosta win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mosta 43%, draw 37%, Pieta Hotspurs 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mosta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mosta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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