ASC 09 Dortmund 4-1 Wattenscheid 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
35%
3.94
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-13.3pp
35%
Draw
22%
+13.0pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ASC 09 Dortmund EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Wattenscheid 09 EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +69% / +69%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +121% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ASC 09 Dortmund
4-1
AWAY Wattenscheid 09
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH ASC 09 Dortmund vs Wattenscheid 09
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ASC 09 Dortmund cruised past Wattenscheid 09 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had ASC 09 Dortmund as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, ASC 09 Dortmund had 58% of the ball to Wattenscheid 09's 42%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of ASC 09 Dortmund vs Wattenscheid 09?

ASC 09 Dortmund 4-1 Wattenscheid 09 in the Germany - Oberliga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ASC 09 Dortmund vs Wattenscheid 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a ASC 09 Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split ASC 09 Dortmund 44%, draw 35%, Wattenscheid 09 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ASC 09 Dortmund), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ASC 09 Dortmund) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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