Bergisch Gladbach 3-1 Siegburger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.11
Draw
16%
8.11
Away
19%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
28%
Over Pick
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
10%
2-3
35%
4-5
34%
6+
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 72%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
65%
Home Win
85%
-20.6pp
16%
Draw
9%
+6.8pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergisch Gladbach The Market 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Siegburger The Market 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -70%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
498 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Bergisch Gladbach vs Siegburger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergisch Gladbach got the better of Siegburger 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bergisch Gladbach as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Bergisch Gladbach vs Siegburger?

Bergisch Gladbach 3-1 Siegburger in the Germany - Oberliga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergisch Gladbach vs Siegburger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergisch Gladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Bergisch Gladbach 65%, draw 16%, Siegburger 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bergisch Gladbach), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bergisch Gladbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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