İnegölspor 4-0 Denizlispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.0pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.4pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İnegölspor EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Denizlispor EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.78/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.16
-3% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +41%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İnegölspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Denizlispor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14.10.2023 Denizlispor Denizlispor 2-0 HT 1-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İnegölspor
4-0
AWAY Denizlispor
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH İnegölspor vs Denizlispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İnegölspor ran out comfortable winners over Denizlispor 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İnegölspor as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, İnegölspor had 49% of the ball to Denizlispor's 51%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of İnegölspor vs Denizlispor?

İnegölspor 4-0 Denizlispor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İnegölspor vs Denizlispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İnegölspor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split İnegölspor 51%, draw 27%, Denizlispor 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İnegölspor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İnegölspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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