GMG Kastamonuspor 1-0 Menemen FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Menemen FK EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.52/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/3.03
+88% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Menemen FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.10.2023 Menemen FK Menemen FK 1-1 HT 1-0 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor S2-K
POST-MATCH GMG Kastamonuspor vs Menemen FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor squeezed past Menemen FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; GMG Kastamonuspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of GMG Kastamonuspor vs Menemen FK?

GMG Kastamonuspor 1-0 Menemen FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GMG Kastamonuspor vs Menemen FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Menemen FK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split GMG Kastamonuspor 34%, draw 28%, Menemen FK 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Menemen FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Menemen FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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