25/02/2024
·
17:01
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Tre Penne vs Cosmos Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No Pick
56%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
42%
Home Win
50%
27%
Draw
26%
32%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tre Penne v Cosmos — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tre Penne
The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY
Cosmos
The Market 27%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
384 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
264 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Tre Penne vs Cosmos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tre Penne edged past Cosmos 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tre Penne as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Tre Penne vs Cosmos?
Tre Penne 1-0 Cosmos in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tre Penne vs Cosmos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tre Penne win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tre Penne 42%, draw 27%, Cosmos 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tre Penne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Tre Penne)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
SANM
More San Marino - Şampiyona
25 Feb 2024