Al Fayha 3-2 Abha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.36
6+ Goals
12%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Abha EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -32%
1.44/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.49
-40% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.9 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fayha
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Abha
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.63 xG 0.90
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
285 Passes 390
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.08.2023 Abha Abha 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
02.03.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 2-0 HT 1-0 Abha Abha SUUD
16.09.2022 Abha Abha 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
23.06.2022 Abha Abha 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
25.12.2021 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-0 HT 0-0 Abha Abha SUUD
21.12.2021 Al Fayha Al Fayha 4-0 HT 2-0 Abha Abha SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fayha
3-2
AWAY Abha
1.18 xG 2.20
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
186 Passes 405
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 40
9 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Fayha vs Abha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fayha squeezed past Abha 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Fayha as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Al Fayha had 34% of the ball to Abha's 66%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.18 to 2.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Abha.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fayha had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Fayha and 0.50 for Abha.

What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Abha?

Al Fayha 3-2 Abha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Abha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fayha win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 45%, draw 24%, Abha 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fayha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Fayha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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