Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-1 HT 1-0
Nacional de Football
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.33/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.00
+13% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
23.06.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-0 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
06.02.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-1 HT 2-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
30.10.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-4 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
14.08.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
28.07.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-1
AWAY Nacional de Football
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and Nacional de Football shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 46% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 54%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.33 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Nacional de Football?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 37%, draw 27%, Nacional de Football 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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