Carabobo 2-1 Angostura FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.6pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.30/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.93
+37% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
23.5 Crosses 10.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Angostura FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.99 xG 0.57
56% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
229 Passes 196
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 1-1 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
06.03.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
2-1
AWAY Angostura FC
0.82 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
325 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Angostura FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo edged past Angostura FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carabobo had 52% of the ball to Angostura FC's 48%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 0.82 to 1.41 — on chances, Angostura FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carabobo and 0.50 for Angostura FC.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Angostura FC?

Carabobo 2-1 Angostura FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Angostura FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 48%, draw 26%, Angostura FC 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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