Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

Estudiantes De Merida
1-1 HT 0-0
Caracas FC
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes De Merida vs Caracas FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes De Merida v Caracas FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.00/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.94
-24% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
25.0 Crosses 15.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4

Estudiantes De Merida vs Caracas FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Caracas FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.52 xG 1.59
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
162 Passes 280
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
09.04.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
15.10.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
08.10.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
17.07.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
08.05.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN

Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 Caracas FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
1-1
AWAY Caracas FC
0.54 xG 0.77
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
322 Passes 286
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes De Merida and Caracas FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 53% of the ball to Caracas FC's 47%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.54 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.50 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Caracas FC?

Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 37%, draw 27%, Caracas FC 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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