İtalya (K) 1-3 Danimarka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.9
Over 2.5
58%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.16
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
49%
-6.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
51%
+6.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Danimarka (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Danimarka (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.89 xG 1.21
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
244 Passes 416
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2020 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) ABK
27.10.2020 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) ABK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya (K)
1-3
AWAY Danimarka (K)
1.22 xG 1.78
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
348 Passes 339
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İtalya (K) vs Danimarka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danimarka (K) beat İtalya (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Danimarka (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, İtalya (K) had 51% of the ball to Danimarka (K)'s 49%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.22 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Danimarka (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for İtalya (K) and 1.50 for Danimarka (K).

What was the final score of İtalya (K) vs Danimarka (K)?

İtalya (K) 1-3 Danimarka (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya (K) vs Danimarka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split İtalya (K) 37%, draw 29%, Danimarka (K) 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İtalya (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İtalya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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