Romanya (K) 0-1 Polonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
62%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
8%
+10.4pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.5pp
62%
Away Win
76%
-13.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Romanya (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.48
-100% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +15%
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 628 · 88%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Romanya (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Polonya (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2024 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 4-1 HT 2-0 Romanya (K) Romanya (K) KAVŞE
25.10.2024 Romanya (K) Romanya (K) 1-2 HT 1-0 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) KAVŞE
11.11.2022 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 6-0 HT 3-0 Romanya (K) Romanya (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Romanya (K)
0-1
AWAY Polonya (K)
0.03 xG 1.43
31% Ball Possession 69%
1 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 7
174 Passes 477
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
4 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Romanya (K) vs Polonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya (K) edged past Romanya (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Polonya (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Romanya (K) had 31% of the ball to Polonya (K)'s 69%, shots finished 1-17, expected goals 0.03 to 1.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Polonya (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Polonya (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Romanya (K) and 4.00 for Polonya (K).

What was the final score of Romanya (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Romanya (K) 0-1 Polonya (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Romanya (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Romanya (K) 18%, draw 20%, Polonya (K) 62%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonya (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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