Galler (K) 1-1 İsveç (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.18
Draw
24%
4.62
Away OUR CALL
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.67
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.01
6+ Goals
9%
9.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 25% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
İsveç (K) win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
11%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
62%
Away Win
71%
-8.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galler (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY İsveç (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.39/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.63/0.77
-18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +16%
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
187 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 82%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 47.2
13.9 Crosses 34.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galler (K)
1-1
AWAY İsveç (K)
1.24 xG 1.25
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 8
190 Passes 390
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 37
7 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Galler (K) vs İsveç (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galler (K) and İsveç (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. İsveç (K) carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Galler (K) had 36% of the ball to İsveç (K)'s 64%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.24 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Galler (K) vs İsveç (K)?

Galler (K) 1-1 İsveç (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galler (K) vs İsveç (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an İsveç (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Galler (K) 14%, draw 24%, İsveç (K) 62%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İsveç (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İsveç (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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