Karadağ (K) 3-1 Litvanya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 25 Feb 2025

Karadağ (K)
3-1 HT 2-1
Litvanya (K)
📅25/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Austria - Karnten Unterliga – 2024/2025

Karadağ (K) vs Litvanya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.25
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
76%
-13.8pp
23%
Draw
15%
+7.7pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+6.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.4pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karadağ (K) v Litvanya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karadağ (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Litvanya (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.74/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+43% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
369 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Karadağ (K) 3-1 Litvanya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karadağ (K)
3-1
AWAY Litvanya (K)
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 11
13 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karadağ (K) vs Litvanya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karadağ (K) got the better of Litvanya (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karadağ (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Karadağ (K) had 57% of the ball to Litvanya (K)'s 43%, shots finished 19-11.

What was the final score of Karadağ (K) vs Litvanya (K)?

Karadağ (K) 3-1 Litvanya (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karadağ (K) vs Litvanya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karadağ (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Karadağ (K) 62%, draw 23%, Litvanya (K) 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karadağ (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karadağ (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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