Macaristan (K) 0-1 Finlandiya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
45%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
17%
+9.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
45%
Away Win
59%
-13.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macaristan (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Finlandiya (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.54/4.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-28% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -66%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 83%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.0 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macaristan (K)
0-1
AWAY Finlandiya (K)
0.39 xG 1.30
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
251 Passes 529
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Macaristan (K) vs Finlandiya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finlandiya (K) squeezed past Macaristan (K) 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Finlandiya (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Macaristan (K) had 36% of the ball to Finlandiya (K)'s 64%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.39 to 1.30.

What was the final score of Macaristan (K) vs Finlandiya (K)?

Macaristan (K) 0-1 Finlandiya (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macaristan (K) vs Finlandiya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Finlandiya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Macaristan (K) 26%, draw 28%, Finlandiya (K) 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Finlandiya (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Finlandiya (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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