Mostaganem 2-0 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
14%
7.04
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.3pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
0.98/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/2.21
-25% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -51%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mostaganem
0W-0D-1L
AWAY USM Khenchela
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-0 HT 1-0 Mostaganem Mostaganem CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostaganem
2-0
AWAY USM Khenchela
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mostaganem vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostaganem saw off USM Khenchela 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Mostaganem found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mostaganem had 53% of the ball to USM Khenchela's 47%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Mostaganem vs USM Khenchela?

Mostaganem 2-0 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostaganem vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mostaganem win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mostaganem 40%, draw 32%, USM Khenchela 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mostaganem), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mostaganem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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