Fransa U23 2-2 ABD U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies - Ülkeler U23, 25 Mar 2024

📅25/03/2024 · 🕒23:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
30%
2.92
6+ Goals
8%
8.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.7pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa U23 EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY ABD U23 EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa U23
2-2
AWAY ABD U23
1.63 xG 1.41
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots
5 Shots on Target
7 Corners 4
419 Passes
87% Pass Accuracy
12 Crosses 0
POST-MATCH Fransa U23 vs ABD U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa U23 and ABD U23 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fransa U23 at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Fransa U23 had 55% of the ball to ABD U23's 45%, shots finished 10-–, expected goals 1.63 to 1.41.

What was the final score of Fransa U23 vs ABD U23?

Fransa U23 2-2 ABD U23 in the Friendlies - Ülkeler U23 on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa U23 vs ABD U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fransa U23 56%, draw 21%, ABD U23 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fransa U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fransa U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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