Japonya U23 2-0 Ukrayna U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies - Ülkeler U23, 25 Mar 2024

📅25/03/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
20%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
4.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.08
6+ Goals
7%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 33% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
49%
+8.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
20%
Away Win
27%
-7.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.2pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna U23 EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya U23
2-0
AWAY Ukrayna U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Japonya U23 vs Ukrayna U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya U23 beat Ukrayna U23 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Japonya U23 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Japonya U23 had 55% of the ball to Ukrayna U23's 45%, shots finished 18-5.

What was the final score of Japonya U23 vs Ukrayna U23?

Japonya U23 2-0 Ukrayna U23 in the Friendlies - Ülkeler U23 on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya U23 vs Ukrayna U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Japonya U23 57%, draw 23%, Ukrayna U23 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya U23), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Japonya U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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