Atlético Saltillo 1-2 Gavilanes FC Matamoros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 25 Mar 2024

📅25/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
70%
-7.4pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.1pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlético Saltillo EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Gavilanes FC Matamoros EU Bookmakers 16%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Atlético Saltillo vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gavilanes FC Matamoros edged past Atlético Saltillo 2-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Atlético Saltillo carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Atlético Saltillo vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?

Atlético Saltillo 1-2 Gavilanes FC Matamoros in the Mexico - Primera A on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlético Saltillo vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlético Saltillo win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Atlético Saltillo 63%, draw 20%, Gavilanes FC Matamoros 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Atlético Saltillo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlético Saltillo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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