Cimarrones de Sonora vs Celaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cimarrones de Sonora v Celaya — Team-Based Signals
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Celaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Cimarrones de Sonora
MEK2
1-1
HT 0-0
Celaya
MEK2
3-1
HT 1-0
Cimarrones de Sonora
MEK2
0-0
HT 0-0
Celaya
MEK2
3-1
HT 2-0
Cimarrones de Sonora
MEK2
3-2
HT 2-1
Celaya
MEK2
Celaya squeezed past Cimarrones de Sonora 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celaya as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cimarrones de Sonora and 1.67 for Celaya.
What was the final score of Cimarrones de Sonora vs Celaya?
Cimarrones de Sonora 0-1 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cimarrones de Sonora vs Celaya?
Before kick-off our model rated an Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cimarrones de Sonora 29%, draw 24%, Celaya 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celaya), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.