Monagas 1-1 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 25 Mar 2024

📅25/03/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-6.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.11/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.31
+1% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 197 · 64%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
24.5 Crosses 19.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Caracas FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.47 xG 1.77
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
258 Passes 236
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.01.2024 Monagas Monagas 2-3 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC HAZ
25.06.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
21.05.2023 Monagas Monagas 0-2 HT 0-2 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
23.07.2022 Monagas Monagas 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
01.05.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
02.12.2021 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
1-1
AWAY Caracas FC
0.76 xG 0.89
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
306 Passes 178
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas and Caracas FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Monagas had 61% of the ball to Caracas FC's 39%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.76 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Monagas and 1.83 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Caracas FC?

Monagas 1-1 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Monagas 36%, draw 29%, Caracas FC 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monagas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monagas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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