Monagas 2-3 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
326 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Caracas FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.47 xG 1.77
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
258 Passes 236
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
21.05.2023 Monagas Monagas 0-2 HT 0-2 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
23.07.2022 Monagas Monagas 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
01.05.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
02.12.2021 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
11.11.2021 Monagas Monagas 1-0 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
2-3
AWAY Caracas FC
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC nicked a narrow win over Monagas 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Caracas FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monagas had 64% of the ball to Caracas FC's 36%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Monagas and 1.33 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Caracas FC?

Monagas 2-3 Caracas FC in the Friendlies on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Monagas 28%, draw 29%, Caracas FC 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caracas FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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