28/01/2024
·
14:05
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Zenit St. Petersburg vs Al Fateh Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
30%
Draw
28%
39%
Away Win
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zenit St. Petersburg v Al Fateh — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Zenit St. Petersburg
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Fateh
EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
6
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
4
379 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
357 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Zenit St. Petersburg vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Zenit St. Petersburg and Al Fateh shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Al Fateh?
Zenit St. Petersburg 1-1 Al Fateh in the Friendlies on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Al Fateh?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 31%, draw 30%, Al Fateh 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Fateh), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Fateh)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
HAZ
More Friendlies
28 Jan 2024