Steinbach 2-1 Fortuna Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
39%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-9.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
39%
Away Win
26%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Steinbach EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 30%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+150% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +59%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Steinbach
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Köln
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
23.06.2017 Steinbach Steinbach 0-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln HAZ
POST-MATCH Steinbach vs Fortuna Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Steinbach edged past Fortuna Köln 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Steinbach made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Steinbach vs Fortuna Köln?

Steinbach 2-1 Fortuna Köln in the Friendlies on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Steinbach vs Fortuna Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Steinbach 36%, draw 26%, Fortuna Köln 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Köln) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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