28/01/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Steinbach vs Fortuna Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
26%
Draw
29%
39%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Steinbach v Fortuna Köln — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Steinbach
EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY
Fortuna Köln
EU Bookmakers 30%
+38% /
+38%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+13% /
+13%
4.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
+150%
/
+18%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-15%
/
+59%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
345 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
296 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.0
Yellow Cards
–
Steinbach vs Fortuna Köln Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Steinbach
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Fortuna Köln
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
53%
Ball Possession
47%
6
Total Shots
17
2
Shots on Target
7
4
Corners
4
The Meetings
23.06.2017
Steinbach
0-2
HT 0-1
Fortuna Köln
HAZ
0-2
HT 0-1
Fortuna Köln
HAZ
POST-MATCH
Steinbach vs Fortuna Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Steinbach edged past Fortuna Köln 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Steinbach made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Steinbach vs Fortuna Köln?
Steinbach 2-1 Fortuna Köln in the Friendlies on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Steinbach vs Fortuna Köln?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Steinbach 36%, draw 26%, Fortuna Köln 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Köln) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Fortuna Köln)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
28 Jan 2024