Birmingham Legion 1-2 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.18
Draw
24%
6.26
Away
24%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
79%
-27.2pp
24%
Draw
12%
+11.9pp
24%
Away Win
9%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
483 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Birmingham Legion vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlanta United squeezed past Birmingham Legion 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Birmingham Legion at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Atlanta United?

Birmingham Legion 1-2 Atlanta United in the Friendlies on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 52%, draw 24%, Atlanta United 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Birmingham Legion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham Legion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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