Rochdale 0-4 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 25 Mar 2025

Rochdale
0-4 HT 0-1
York City
📅25/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Rochdale vs York City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.88
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
17%
5.56
X/2
13%
5.56
X/X
15%
4.28
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
13%
3.87
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.4pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rochdale v York City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.42/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.39
+4% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
175 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 163 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Rochdale vs York City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
1W-4D-1L
AWAY York City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.08.2024 York City York City 1-0 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
16.12.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 0-0 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
28.08.2023 York City York City 1-3 HT 1-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
05.04.2014 Rochdale Rochdale 0-0 HT 0-0 York City York City İN2
30.11.2013 York City York City 0-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
12.03.2013 York City York City 0-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2

Rochdale 0-4 York City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
0-4
AWAY York City
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
0 Passes 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City ran out comfortable winners over Rochdale 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; York City found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Rochdale had 46% of the ball to York City's 54%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rochdale and 0.33 for York City.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs York City?

Rochdale 0-4 York City in the England - National League on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 39%, draw 28%, York City 32%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rochdale), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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