Atletico Choloma 1-2 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 25 Mar 2026

📅25/03/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Choloma EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 29%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +21%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.13
+33% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Choloma
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Genesis PN
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
02.02.2026 Genesis PN 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Choloma Atletico Choloma HON
03.11.2025 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Choloma Atletico Choloma HON
24.08.2025 Atletico Choloma Atletico Choloma 2-1 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Atletico Choloma vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN squeezed past Atletico Choloma 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Choloma at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Choloma and 0.67 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Atletico Choloma vs Genesis PN?

Atletico Choloma 1-2 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 25/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Choloma vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Choloma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Choloma 44%, draw 22%, Genesis PN 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Choloma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Choloma) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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