Al Muaidar vs Al Markhiya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Muaidar v Al Markhiya — Team-Based Signals
Al Muaidar vs Al Markhiya Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
5-2
HT 5-1
Al Markhiya
KAT
Al Muaidar 3-2 Al Markhiya — Actual Match Statistics
Al Muaidar nicked a narrow win over Al Markhiya 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Al Muaidar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Al Muaidar had 59% of the ball to Al Markhiya's 41%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 2.93 to 1.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Muaidar's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Muaidar had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Al Muaidar and 1.00 for Al Markhiya.
What was the final score of Al Muaidar vs Al Markhiya?
Al Muaidar 3-2 Al Markhiya in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 25/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Muaidar vs Al Markhiya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Muaidar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Muaidar 39%, draw 25%, Al Markhiya 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Muaidar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.