Al Markhiya 0-2 Al Muaidar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.33
Over 2.5
47%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.49
No
55%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
4.9
2-3 Goals
33%
1.94
4-5 Goals
20%
2.79
6+ Goals
14%
7.47
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.9 — our 33% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
48%
Away Win
43%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
63%
-18.1pp
55%
BTTS No
37%
+18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Markhiya EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Muaidar EU Bookmakers 48%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.8 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Markhiya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Muaidar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
0.87 xG 1.77
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
328 Passes 228
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
8 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2023 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar 5-2 HT 5-1 Al Markhiya Al Markhiya KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Markhiya
0-2
AWAY Al Muaidar
1.65 xG 0.98
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
354 Passes 222
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
11 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Markhiya vs Al Muaidar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Muaidar beat Al Markhiya 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Muaidar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Markhiya had 58% of the ball to Al Muaidar's 42%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.65 to 0.98 — on chances, Al Markhiya could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Al Markhiya vs Al Muaidar?

Al Markhiya 0-2 Al Muaidar in the Qatar League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Markhiya vs Al Muaidar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Muaidar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Markhiya 28%, draw 24%, Al Muaidar 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Muaidar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Muaidar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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