Qatar SC 1-1 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 24 Feb 2024

Qatar SC
1-1 HT 1-1
Umm Salal
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Qatar League – 2023/2024

Qatar SC vs Umm Salal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Qatar SC v Umm Salal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qatar SC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.85/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.92
+64% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
22.0 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Qatar SC vs Umm Salal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qatar SC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Umm Salal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.29 xG 1.01
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
250 Passes 328
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KATYK
01.09.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-2 HT 1-2 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
08.05.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-0 HT 0-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
24.01.2023 Qatar SC Qatar SC 4-1 HT 2-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
25.09.2022 Qatar SC Qatar SC 1-3 HT 1-2 Umm Salal Umm Salal KATYK
04.02.2022 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-2 HT 0-2 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT

Qatar SC 1-1 Umm Salal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qatar SC
1-1
AWAY Umm Salal
1.17 xG 0.88
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 3
379 Passes 215
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 15
36 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qatar SC vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qatar SC and Umm Salal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Qatar SC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Qatar SC had 62% of the ball to Umm Salal's 38%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.17 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Qatar SC and 1.67 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Qatar SC vs Umm Salal?

Qatar SC 1-1 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qatar SC vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qatar SC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Qatar SC 44%, draw 27%, Umm Salal 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Qatar SC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Qatar SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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