Wadi Degla 3-1 El Geish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - League Cup, 25 Mar 2026

📅25/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
25%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.36
Over 2.5
43%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.44
No
50%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
7.09
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.3pp
34%
Draw
33%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
31%
-5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
70%
-12.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
30%
+12.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
37%
+13.0pp
50%
BTTS No
63%
-13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wadi Degla EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY El Geish EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wadi Degla
1W-0D-4L
AWAY El Geish
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.46 xG 1.43
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
274 Passes 240
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2025 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 1-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
25.05.2021 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
15.01.2021 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
21.09.2020 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 1-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
03.01.2020 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 1-3 HT 1-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wadi Degla
3-1
AWAY El Geish
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wadi Degla vs El Geish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wadi Degla got the better of El Geish 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wadi Degla as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wadi Degla had 49% of the ball to El Geish's 51%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, El Geish led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Wadi Degla and 1.20 for El Geish.

What was the final score of Wadi Degla vs El Geish?

Wadi Degla 3-1 El Geish in the Egypt - League Cup on 25/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wadi Degla vs El Geish?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wadi Degla win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wadi Degla 41%, draw 34%, El Geish 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wadi Degla) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wadi Degla) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MISLK More Egypt - League Cup
25 Mar 2026
21:00 ENPPI vs Petrojet Analysis →