Wadi Degla 1-0 El Geish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.28
Over 2.5
28%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.95
No
60%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
1.64
2-3 Goals
35%
1.87
4-5 Goals
7%
8.19
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
25%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.6pp
36%
Draw
32%
+3.5pp
15%
Away Win
17%
-1.9pp
72%
Under 2.5
75%
-2.9pp
28%
Over 2.5
25%
+2.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
30%
+10.6pp
60%
BTTS No
70%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wadi Degla EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY El Geish EU Bookmakers 20%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.19/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.02
-13% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 79%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
16.8 Crosses 14.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wadi Degla
0W-0D-4L
AWAY El Geish
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.44 xG 1.77
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 Passes 245
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2021 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
15.01.2021 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
21.09.2020 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 1-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
03.01.2020 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 1-3 HT 1-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wadi Degla
1-0
AWAY El Geish
0.54 xG 0.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 11
304 Passes 224
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wadi Degla vs El Geish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wadi Degla nicked a narrow win over El Geish 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wadi Degla as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wadi Degla had 54% of the ball to El Geish's 46%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.54 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, El Geish led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Wadi Degla and 1.50 for El Geish.

What was the final score of Wadi Degla vs El Geish?

Wadi Degla 1-0 El Geish in the Egypt - Premier League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wadi Degla vs El Geish?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wadi Degla win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Wadi Degla 50%, draw 36%, El Geish 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wadi Degla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wadi Degla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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