Al Ahly 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.06
No
46%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
17.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.8 — our 24% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
59%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.3pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.70/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.60
+25% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / -42%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
474 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
17.7 Crosses 14.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.56 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 Passes 275
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.05.2025 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
02.11.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 5-2 HT 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
20.10.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSRSK
29.07.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-1 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
25.12.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSRSK
08.11.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
1-0
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.39 xG 0.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
332 Passes 346
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly nicked a narrow win over Ceramica Cleopatra 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Al Ahly had 49% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 51%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.39 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Ahly and 0.83 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Al Ahly 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Premier League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 59%, draw 23%, Ceramica Cleopatra 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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